Ok I'm here to clear the air.
Geats will at least have the minimum lose rate of 5% against Kokken Sabi.
Firstly, Kokken completely outranges Geats' attack range. It may say
hundreds of ms to kms with guns and cannons but I assume the kilometers should be for the cannons rather than guns. This comes into play because he has to be in direct confrontation for his luck to kick in, since there hasn't been cases where luck has aided him from getting sniped or get defeated by a surprise attack from far away.
Secondly, the AoE of her slash seems big enough for Geats to get hurt while closing in. Sure, he can get a few dodges here and there, but the chance of getting hit is pretty even to the chances of him dodging it. I mean look at the radius.
Like, the radius of the AoE is 80m or so, judging by her AP feat.
And thanks to the RPL being argued he probably has the stats to just tank a hit or two at that point... or y'know, the luck.
Geats' Empowerment actually just makes him on par with his opponent; if he's outstatted in some way, his desires will allow him to be on equal grounds with his opponents and give them a run for their money, unlike my other Rider submission that can go 3x his AP due to his actual RPL. And as with both of them, they do not happen immediately. Give them a very dire situation, a life or death kind of shtick and it'd accelerate. It can be argued that Geats' desire (which is the strongest in his respective series) will allow him to be empowered faster but by no means is he going to be like that just a few minutes in.
The supernatural luck that is argued would include things like making her drop her sword or randomly slip, which would prevent her slashes regardless of their AoE.
To be fair, people were arguing here that the supernatural luck can do relevant things, but wouldn't do so very often.
I don't think something that fends of several attackers while they are statistically way superior and the user "doesn't know how to fight at all", can logistically only activate to save him 5% of the time.
Geats' supernatural luck is minor because it only serves to inconvenience and mildly annoy the opponent; it doesn't match the scale of the likes of Higashikawa or Ladybug's charm. What his luck brings is completely limited by the environment that Ace will be in. It also relies on Ace's surrounding and the potency of his luck can summon outside help at its maximum, which it can't happen in matches anyway. This won't save his ass from certain defeat as seen
when this version of Ace in this scan who can only rely on his luck to get out of a sticky situation gets absorbed by the villains. The OG Ace himself has canonically died by screwing up, and his luck wasn't there to save him at that point.
I thought his speed was just Supersonic+ all around as Kamen Rider Geats, giving him the speed to dodge it, especially if he can predict it.
I assume that Geats would have his speed equalised to Kokken, no? Since the whole tourney turned into a speed equal one.
He can only run like a athletic human (baseline athletic it seems), and his combat speed isn’t enough for him to dash 80 meters away from a slash coming at him in seconds
That should be his speed untransformed.