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The way it's described implies that he has to do some actual damage first, which here is a one-shot anyway
 
Basically, what Weekly is referring to is Vlad's Kazikli Bey, which is essentially him summoning 2000-20000 stakes across a wide radius that chase after a foe and inflict fear.
 
But yeah, Lancer's two main things are: A. stake spam and B. If he injures you in any capacity with his main spear you're basically continually hit by causality warping durability negating stakes.
 
Inconclusive maybe? Assuming both Sans and Lancer begin the fight with their respective spams then I think they'll oneshot each other. Lancer doesn't seem to have the evasion skills necessary to avoid Sans' bones but could probably cover every avaliable inch with stakes leaving Sans no safe spot to teleport to outside of leaving the battlefield. Let me know if any part of my reasoning is flawed, but for now I'm Inconclusive.
 
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