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I think Nagato will take it with mid diff. Pretty much anything that Itachi can use against Nagato gets countered hard by absorbing ninjutsu (Including susanoo). The onky thing that Itachi can do is use genjutsu, but to be honest I don't know if eye genjutsu works on rinnegan, otherwise Itachi would have used genjutsu on Edo Nagato rather than try to blind his eyesight.
Nagato with low to mid diff. He has counters to all of Itachi's abilities and starting 100 meters away would give him the uphand. Itachi could maybe catch Nagato with a Genjutsu, but I don't believe that the Sharigan Genjutsu trumps the Rinnegan.
Nagato takes this mid diff. Blood lusted would mean Nagato starts out with something like Chibaku Tensei which Itachi would not be able to defend against