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Cirno VS Clover: A Fairy’s Misfortune

Why can Clover's luck somehow stop Cirno freezing the ground. From what I've seen it just make Clover dodges thing and make people fall and get hurt which wouldn't stop Cirno from blindly freezing everything.

So I would be thankful if someone can explain it to me.
 
Avoid a rope via wind

Wind won't being doing much to a frozen block of ice.

4 butterflies

Flying won't help much since Cirno can also do that, and do AoE attack.

Projectiles stuff

The scan you sent shows me that there's this bowtie that stops it, so can we assume that person will also appear in this fight? Cirno can freeze the bowtie guy anyway, or just ran run up straight to Clover. What block will appear to block all 30+ Danmaku coming over to swarm Clover.

I feel like the supreme luck and probability manipulation are kinda outmatched there, yes Clover can make things trip and makes Clover win and all but that's on a verse (from what I've seen) that doesn't have high level fantasy power like Touhou did. Also why is it treated as probability manipulation.
 
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