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Welp, i'm most likely leaning towards Aiz.

Cranberry may underestimate Aiz at first, which gonna give Aiz the advantage by using her attacks that will finish with either Tempest or even after fighting Cranb for some time and noticing how dangerous she is, Aiz will opt for using her unnamed skill.
 
Cranberry may underestimate Aiz at first

Cranberry has a huge battle experience. Why she must to underestimate Aiz?

after fighting Cranb for some time

She will be dead. Cranberry can kill Aiz by any touch. She has an AOE attack also.
 
Cranberry seems to have the advantage imo, albeit her tendency to play around might lower it.

I'll vote Cran FRA
 
Also about the whole "she never fought seriously against the magical girls of Arc 1", keep in mind that was because none of the Arc 1 girls were ever a serious threat to Cranberry. She killed La Pucelle like nothing and completely outplayed Winterprison, two of the strongest fighters.

Due to Cranberry's many years of experience, she's learned to judge her opponents. When she deemed Winterprison and Swim Swim strong enough during their fights, she went full power. Since Aiz is a strong character, there's no reason for Cranberry to go "easy mode" unless she wants to die; she'll fight seriously.
 
Cranberry may play around but not that long tbh so i feel like cranberry can win via more having going for her and will take out her opponent noticing they are similar in strength. Cranberry FRA
 
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