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Raiden is implied to have went into Ripper Mode during one of the codecs and is still out of breath after the fight with Sam. It also wouldn't make much sense for him to not use it on either Sundowner or Sam considering he was hellbent on killing both of them.
Either way, this doesn't feel very fair. Raiden isn't going to have a single opportunity to kill either Sam or Monsoon while they can both just back Raiden into a corner, giving him no way to fight back.
So Raiden loses.
He already admitted that if he didn't have Ripper Mode, Monsoon would've beat him. It's also implied that Raiden went Ripper Mode against Sam, who he still had hard time beating. Both of them at the same time? That's way too much for him to deal with.
It's because Baby Mantis scales to TMOF, and MGS1 Mantis would be above that, which would scale to Snake and friends. (BB doesn't get that scaling tho sadly.)